Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes and Partial Welfare Ordering︎︎︎
supplement︎︎︎ matlab codes & data︎︎︎ working paper︎︎︎ slides︎︎︎
Sep 2022,
Forthcoming,
Journal of American Statistical Association
*Editor’s Choice 2023
We partially identify the optimal dynamic regime from observational data, relaxing sequential randomization but instead using IVs. As a first step, we establish the sharp partial ordering of welfares, which summarizes the signs of dynamic treatment effects.
A Computational Approach to Identification of Treatment Effects for Policy Evaluation︎︎︎
with Shenshen Yang
arxiv︎︎︎ matlab codes︎︎︎
Dec 2023,
Forthcoming,
Journal of Econometrics
We propose a computational framework to calculate sharp nonparametric bounds (using binary IV that satisfies full independence) on various policy-relevant treatment parameters that are defined as weighted averages of the MTE.
Shapes as Product Differentiation︎︎︎
with Eric Schulman, Kristen Grauman, Santhosh Ramakrishnan
arxiv︎︎︎ slides︎︎︎
Nov 2022,
Revise & Resubmit,
RAND Journal of Economics
Many differentiated products have key attributes that are high-dimensional (e.g., design, text). We consider one of the simplest design products, fonts, and quantify their shapes by constructing neural network embeddings. Using the embeddings and data from the world's largest online market place for fonts, we study the causal effect of a merger on the merging firm's creative decisions of product differentiation.
*This project is featured in a typography magazine ︎︎︎ and included in the MIT graduate machine learning course ︎︎︎.
Jan 2024
Most work on treatment choice and policy learning focuses on utilitarian welfare (i.e., average welfare), which can be sensitive to skewed heterogeneity. We propose a robust policy learning framework that enables the policymaker to act with prudence/negligence and to be influenced by vote shares.
On Quantile Treatment Effects, Rank Similarity, and the Variation of IVs︎︎︎
with Haiqing Xu
arxiv︎︎︎ slides︎︎︎
Aug 2023
We provide a novel interpretation for rank similarity, which motivates us to relax it in a way that is useful to bound the QTEs using multi-valued IVs. The bounds are easy to calculate in practice and are shown to be informative.
2023,
Journal of Econometrics,
Vol. 234, pp. 732-757
Treatments are determined by strategic interaction, which poses interesting identification problems.
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2021,
Journal of American Statistical Association,
Vol. 116, pp. 192-195
I discuss identification of optimal treatment rules under treatment endogeneity and propose a novel identifying condition.
2021,
Journal of Econometrics,
Vol. 225, pp. 132-147
Time-varying treatment effects are considered in a nonparametric model with treatment endogeneity.
Nonparametric Estimation of Triangular Simultaneous Equations Models under Weak Identification︎︎︎
supplement︎︎︎ matlab codes & data︎︎︎